As stock markets continue to gently rise and volatility falls back to recent lows, investor confidence in the now-longest bull market in history is unshakable. Perhaps rightly so as many US equity indices are now breaking out to new all-time highs. While the US stock market continues to advance, European equities remain range-bound, while Emerging market equities are correcting sharply. The Summer is coming to a close and volume and volatility should pick up in September and October. Whether we get rising stock prices and rising volatility (similar to 1997-2000) or sharply falling stock prices with rising volatility (similar to 2007-2009) remains to be seen. The charts will tell the story and I am paying close attention.
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