While the stock markets are bouncing off the lows following a brutal spate of selling in October, all is not well when we take a look beneath the surface. Despite the recent rally, just 35% of the 3,000+ stocks trading on the NYSE remain in uptrends, above their long-term 200 day moving averages. When two thirds of stocks in the US have shifted to a bear market downtrend, investors should be concerned and take heed. Following almost ten years of steadily rising stock prices, the tide has turned. Interest rates are rising, as is inflation and central banks are withdrawing liquidity from the markets at record pace. All this is occurring at a time when stocks have never been more expensive. That is a potent combination and risks are now very much tilted to the downside.
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